Areas of Interest:

• Macroeconomics
• Energy Economics
• Climate Change
• Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling

Education:

• Ph.D., Economics, University of Cambridge, 2011
• M.Phil., Economics, University of Cambridge, 2006
• B.Sc., Economics (First Class), University of Warwick, UK, 2004

Experience:

• 2019: Departmental Special Advisor, Bank of Canada
• 10/2019 – present: Sustainable Growth Hub Co-Leader, Rebuilding Macroeconomics, UK
• 10/2017 – present: Affiliated Senior Research Fellow, Cambridge-INET Institute, University of Cambridge, UK
• 06/2017 – present: Thematic Co-Leader of the Macroeconomics Theme, Economic Research Forum, Cairo, Egypt
• 08/2016 – present: Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA), Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University, Australia
• 07/2016 – present: Associate Editor, Middle East Development Journal
• 06/2016 – present: Executive Secretary, International Iranian Economic Association (IIEA)
• 06/2016 – present: Associate Fellow, USC Dornsife Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET), University of Southern California, USA
• 05/2015 – present: Associate Researcher, Energy Policy Research Group, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, UK
• 01/2015 – present: Research Associate, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, USA

Latest Publications:

• Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies, with J. B. Nugent, and H. Selim, Oxford University Press.
• Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?, with A. Chudik, M. H. Pesaran, and M. Raissi, Review of Economics and Statistics 99:1, pp. 135–150.e
• Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño, with P. Cashin and M. Raissi, Journal of International Economics 106, pp. 37–54.u
• Long-Run Effects in Large Heterogeneous Panel Data Models with Cross-Sectionally Correlated Errors, with A. Chudik, M. H. Pesaran, and M. Raissi, in R. C. Hill, G. Gonzalez-Rivera, and T.-H. Lee (eds.), Advances in Econometrics (Volume 36): Essays in Honor of Aman Ullah, pp. 85–135. Emerald Publishing.
• Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy: A Counterfactual Analysis, with M. H. Pesaran, Energy Economics 59, pp. 382–399.
• The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles, with P. Cashin and M. Raissi, in I. A. Elbadawi and H. Selim (eds.), Understanding and Avoiding the Oil Curse in Resource-rich Arab Economies, pp. 16–43. Cambridge University Press.
• Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth, with T. Cavalcanti and M. Raissi, Journal of Applied Econometrics 30:6, pp. 857–873
• The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy (2014), with P. Cashin, M. Raissi and M. Raissi, Energy Economics 44, pp. 113-134.
• An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters (2014), with H. S. Esfahani and M. H. Pesaran, Journal of Applied Econometrics 29:1, pp. 1–21.
• One Hundred Years of Oil Income and the Iranian Economy: A Curse or a Blessing? (2014), with M. H. Pesaran, in P. Alizadeh and H. Hakimian (eds.), Iran and the Global Economy: Petro Populism, Islam and Economic Sanctions. Routledge, London.