Conference Paper
A Comprehensive Analysis of the Dynamic Space-time Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty in Egypt
No.
ERF30_109
Publisher
ERF
Date
March, 2024
This paper explores the relationship between climate conditions and poverty in Egypt at a subnational level, considering various factors and estimation techniques. Using a functional data analysis (FDA) this paper explores the long-term effects of summer, winter temperature and precipitation on poverty across Egypt. FDA results highlight the evolving relationship between temperature changes and poverty, emphasizing the heightened influence of summer temperature on poverty rates over the past three decades. Additionally, the contrast in temperature dynamics before and after 1985 emerges as a significant predictor. With the aid of geographically weighted regression modelling, distinct patterns in different areas of the relationship between climate and poverty are revealed, with urban areas demonstrating more resilience and rural regions facing increased vulnerabilities. The paper contributes to understanding the climate-poverty nexus and emphasizes the need for tailored strategies at the local level for climate resilience and poverty alleviation.
Authors
Amira Elayouty
Assistant Professor, Department of Statistics, Faculty of...
Research Fellows
Hala Abou-Ali
Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics and...