Policy Briefs

Is Egypt’s Job Ladder Broken? Evidence from 25 Years of Employment Panel Data

No.

PB 169

Publisher

ERF

Date

October, 2026

Topic

J6. Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers

J1. Demographic Economics

In a nutshell:
  • Upward mobility on Egypt’s job ladder has declined over the past 25 years, while downward movement has increased, leaving more workers stuck in lower-tier informal employment.
  • Labor market mobility matters for welfare: moving up the job ladder raises wealth and lowers poverty risk.
  • Household enterprises are not an escalator for all, but they help the most precarious workers move up.
  • Moving workers up the job ladder requires expanding social insurance coverage, which depends on giving firms reasons to operate formally, and occupational upgrading for informal workers.
Is Egypt’s Job Ladder Broken? Evidence from 25 Years of Employment Panel Data

Authors

Paloma Avendano

Ph.D. Student, Public Affairs, University of Minnesota

Is Egypt’s Job Ladder Broken? Evidence from 25 Years of Employment Panel Data

Speakers

Ruotong Li

Ph.D. Student, Applied Economics, University of Minnesota

Is Egypt’s Job Ladder Broken? Evidence from 25 Years of Employment Panel Data

Authors

Carmen Armas Montalvo

PhD Candidate in Applied Economics, Department of...

Is Egypt’s Job Ladder Broken? Evidence from 25 Years of Employment Panel Data

Authors

Caroline Krafft

Associate Professor, Humphrey School of Public Affairs,...

Is Egypt’s Job Ladder Broken? Evidence from 25 Years of Employment Panel Data

Research Fellows

Ragui Assaad

Professor and Freeman Chair for International Economic...

Is Egypt’s Job Ladder Broken? Evidence from 25 Years of Employment Panel Data

Research Associates

Imane Helmy

Senior Economist at World Bank’s Poverty and...