Kamiar Mohaddes - Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Kamiar Mohaddes

Research Fellows

Senior Lecturer, Fellow, and Director of Studies in Economics, Girton College, University of Cambridge, UK

Areas of Interest:

  • Macroeconomics
  • Energy Economics
  • Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling


  • Ph.D., Economics, University of Cambridge, 2011
  • M.Phil., Economics, University of Cambridge, 2006
  • B.Sc., Economics (First Class), University of Warwick, UK, 2004


  • Senior Lecturer, Fellow, and Director of Studies in Economics, Girton College, University of Cambridge, UK, October 2015-Present
  • Associate Researcher, Energy Policy Research Group, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, UK, May 2015-Present
  • Research Associate, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, USA, January 2015-Present

Latest Publications:

  • Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?, with A. Chudik, M. H. Pesaran, and M. Raissi, forthcoming in Review of Economics and Statistics
  • Long-Run Effects in Large Heterogeneous Panel Data Models with Cross-Sectionally Correlated Errors, with Alexander Chudik, M. H. Pesaran, and M. Raissi, forthcoming in R. Carter Hill, Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera, and Tae-Hwy Lee (eds.), Advances in Econometrics (Volume 36): Essays in Honor of Aman Ullah, Emerald Publishing.
  • Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth, with T. Cavalcanti and M. Raissi, forthcoming in Journal of Applied Econometrics.
  • The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles, with P. Cashin and M. Raissi, forthcoming in I. A. Elbadawi and H. Selim (eds.), Understanding and Avoiding the Oil Curse in Resource-rich Arab Economies. Cambridge University Press.
  • The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy (2014), with P. Cashin, M. Raissi and M. Raissi, Energy Economics 44, pp. 113-134.
  • An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters (2014), with H. S. Esfahani and M. H. Pesaran, Journal of Applied Econometrics 29:1, pp. 1–21.
  • One Hundred Years of Oil Income and the Iranian Economy: A Curse or a Blessing? (2014), with M. H. Pesaran, in P. Alizadeh and H. Hakimian (eds.), Iran and the Global Economy: Petro Populism, Islam and Economic Sanctions. Routledge, London.

Working Papers

Oil Prices and the Global Economy: Is It Different This Time Around?

The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that ... read more

Working Papers

Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy: A Counterfactual Analysis

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both ... read more

Working Papers

Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy

Abstract This paper develops a long run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and ... read more

Working Papers

Commodity Price Volatility and The Sources of Growth

Abstract This paper studies the impact of the level and volatility of commodity terms of trade ... read more


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