Working Papers
Long-Term Economy-Wide Impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on Sudan
No.
1427
Publisher
ERF
Date
November, 2020
Topic
Q2. Renewable Resources and Conservation
D5. General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium
F5. International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy
The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is expected to increase Ethiopia's electricity generation and affect water users in Egypt and Sudan. We analyze potential economy-wide impacts on Sudan of the steady-state operation of the GERD using a computable general equilibrium model coupled with hydrological, water allocation, and crop models. Results show that the increase in hydropower generation and irrigated agriculture in Sudan due to the flow regulation effect of the GERD would increase Sudan's accumulated GDP by US$ 27-29 billion over 2020-2060. The choice of cropping pattern for Sudan's new irrigation schemes is key to maximizing the county's macro-economic benefits.
Authors
Khalid Siddig
Senior Researcher, International Agricultural Trade and Development...
Authors
Mohammed Basheer
Ph.D. Researcher, the University of Manchester
Authors
Jonas Luckmann
Lecturer and Researcher, International Agricultural Trade and...