The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is expected to increase Ethiopia's electricity generation and affect water users in Egypt and Sudan. We analyze potential economy-wide impacts on Sudan of the steady-state operation of the GERD using a computable general equilibrium model coupled with hydrological, water allocation, and crop models. Results show that the increase in hydropower generation and irrigated agriculture in Sudan due to the flow regulation effect of the GERD would increase Sudan's accumulated GDP by US$ 27-29 billion over 2020-2060. The choice of cropping pattern for Sudan's new irrigation schemes is key to maximizing the county's macro-economic benefits.
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Authors
Khalid Siddig
Senior Researcher, International Agricultural Trade and Development...
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Authors
Mohammed Basheer
Ph.D. Researcher, the University of Manchester
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Authors
Jonas Luckmann
Lecturer and Researcher, International Agricultural Trade and...