Conference Paper

Forced to Migrate in A Warming World: Labor Migration Responses to Drought-Induced Shocks in Tunisia

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No.

ERF_31_LB146

Publisher

ERF

Date

March, 2025

Topic

J. Labor and Demographic Economics

Abstract
Author(s)

This study investigates two key strategies for coping with drought in Tunisia: agricultural adaptation and migration, using panel data on net migration rates, agricultural production, and weather conditions at a detailed administrative level. Our results indicate that farmers expand irrigated land to cope with droughts. However, since this is not sufficient, migration becomes a prominent alternative strategy. Indeed, less favorable weather is associated with higher out-migration, particularly among males, less educated individuals, and informal or agricultural workers. Migration, however, is predominantly accessible to wealthier households due to its associated costs. Furthermore, we provide also strong evidence of climate-induced international migration, but primarily to neighboring countries.

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Forced to Migrate in A Warming World: Labor Migration Responses to Drought-Induced Shocks in Tunisia

Authors

Esther Delesalle

Assistant Professor of Economics, IEDES, Université Paris...

Authors

Phuong Minh Le

Associate Researcher, Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne University

Research Fellows

Mohamed Ali Marouani

Associate Professor of Economics, Sorbonne University

Authors

Federica Alfani

Economist, Poverty and Equity Global Practice, World...

Forced to Migrate in A Warming World: Labor Migration Responses to Drought-Induced Shocks in Tunisia

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