Working Papers

Egypt’s Experience from CGE Modeling: A Critical Review

No.

9411

Publisher

Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Date

August, 1994

Topic

E. Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

Abstract This paper reviews Egypt's experience of SAM-based CGE modeling, dating back to the mid-1970s. Its purpose is to extract lessons for the future application of such models to Egypt and other LDCs. The paper provides a detailed review of seven models, covering their data bases, key aspects of their structures (with regard to production, consumption, foreign trade, micro and macro closures), as well as policy simulations. It is concluded with critical observations and suggestions for future research. Arabic Abstract:
تستعرض هذه الورقة تجربة مصر فى صياغة نماذج Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) المستندة الى مصفوفة الحسابات الاجتماعية SAM التى يرجع تاريخها الى منتصف السبعينات. وتستهدف هذه الورقة استخلاص الدروس المستفادة من أجل تطبيق هذه النماذج فى sالمستقبل على مصر وغ