Conference Paper

Conflict Intensity and Entrepreneurial Intentions: Evidence from Iraqi Regions

No.

ERF32AC_67

Publisher

ERF

Date

May, 2026

Topic

L2. Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior

O5. Economywide Country Studies

D7. Analysis of Collective Decision-Making

This study examines the relationship between conflict events, conflict-related fatalities, and entrepreneurial intentions in Iraq, one of the most war-affected countries over the past four decades and a context largely overlooked in the entrepreneurship literature. By combining regional-level data from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) with individual-level data from the World Values Survey (WVS), we find that, controlling for other factors, entrepreneurial intentions are significantly lower in regions experiencing higher levels of conflict and fatalities. This finding is robust across multiple estimation methods and model specifications. Furthermore, our results indicate that financially stable individuals show a sharper decline in entrepreneurial intentions in response to conflict compared to financially vulnerable individuals.
Conflict Intensity and Entrepreneurial Intentions: Evidence from Iraqi Regions

Research Fellows

Hassan Gholipour

Associate Professor of Property, School of Business,...

Conflict Intensity and Entrepreneurial Intentions: Evidence from Iraqi Regions

Research Fellows

Georges Harb

Associate Professor of Economics, Adnan Kassar School...

Conflict Intensity and Entrepreneurial Intentions: Evidence from Iraqi Regions

Research Fellows

Mohammad Reza Farzanegan

Professor in Economics of the Middle East,...