Policy Briefs

The Political Economy of Energy Transition

No.

PB 154

Publisher

ERF

Date

March, 2025

In a nutshell
  • MENA remains a global outlier in energy trends. Energy intensity in the region has increased by 30% since 1990, in contrast to a global decline of 35%. This is driven by the dominance of fossil fuel subsidies, inefficient public sector structures, and underdeveloped renewable energy infrastructure.
  • Without urgent action, the region risks falling behind in the global energy transition, with significant economic and political consequences. But such actions must be pursued in ways that align with political incentives as energy transition can have distributional consequences in society. MENA countries should prioritize a phased approach to fossil fuel subsidy reform.
  • Gradual reductions, coupled with public awareness campaigns and targeted social welfare programs, can mitigate political backlash and build support for clean energy initiatives. Redirecting subsidy savings toward renewable energy projects and introducing carbon taxes to fund these efforts could create a self-sustaining cycle of investment in clean energy.
The Political Economy of Energy Transition

Research Fellows

Abeer Elshennawy

Professor of Economics, American University in Cairo

The Political Economy of Energy Transition

Senior Associates

Adeel Malik

Globe Fellow in the Economies of Muslim...