Conference Paper
The MENA Trade and Regional Conflicts: Causal Evidence from a Disaggregated Analysis
No.
ERF30_101
Publisher
ERF
Date
March, 2024
This study investigates the impacts of trade on conflicts within the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. The findings indicate that bilateral trade has no significant impact on regional conflicts in the MENA, but this veils substantial heterogeneity. The multilateral trade of manufacturing and agriculture sectors increases the number of conflicts within the region, possibly due to decreased dependence on bilateral ties. The positive effect of multilateral trade is mainly driven by the oil importer MENA countries. Membership in the World Trade Organization (WTO) is associated with a reduction in conflicts. The results vary when considering oil-exporting and oil-importing countries separately, revealing nuances in the relationship between trade and conflicts within the MENA region.
Research Associates
Pinar Tat
Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Gebze Technical...
Authors
Halit Yanikkaya
Professor, Department of Economics, Gebze Technical University,...