We analyze the relationship between large-scale refugee inflows and the inter-regional job mobility of natives. Using a sudden inflow of Syrian refugees into Turkey, we identify the province level impact of hosting refugees on inward and outward job mobility of provinces using administrative social security data. We find that after the arrival of Syrian refugees, net job mobility towards hosting provinces declined. The negative effect is driven by a decline in inward mobility rather than an increase in outward mobility. A percentage point increase in Syrian to native population ratio decreases job mobility to a province by 2%. We find no corresponding effect on total internal migration, suggesting that the effect on job movers in the private sector can differ from the effect on the population at large.
Authors
Yusuf Emre Akgündüz
Faculty Member, Faculty of Arts and Social...
Authors
Altan Aldan
Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey
Authors
Yusuf Kenan Bagır
Central Bank of Republic of Turkey