ERF 26th Annual Conference
Economic and Social Integration of Syrian Refugees and Their Intention to Stay in Germany
No.
ERF26_254
Publisher
ERF
Date
July, 2020
Topic
F2. International Factor Movements and International Business
The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of both social and economic integration on the intention of Syrian refugees to stay permanently in Germany. We also study the determinants of these two components of integration and the causal relationships between them using the 2016 IAB-BAMF-SOEP Refugee Survey. Our econometric strategy is to estimate a simultaneous equation model for the former three variables using the Conditional Mixed Process method. The main results show the importance of the social integration component, not only for its impact on the permanent stay of the Syrian refugees in Germany but also for its bidirectional relationship with the economic integration component. Moreover, we find that the arrival year, the level of education, the family context of having a child in Germany, social networks and the residence in a refugee accommodation are relevant additional explanations of the three outcomes of interest.
Research Associates
Cyrine Hannafi
Post-Doctoral Researcher, University Paris-Est Créteil
Research Fellows
Mohamed Ali Marouani
Associate Professor, Université Paris1-Panthéon-Sorbonne