Working Papers

The Sustainability of GCC Development under the New Global Oil Order

No.

1382

Publisher

Economic Research Forum

Date

February, 2020

Topic

P1. Capitalist Systems

O4. Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

O1. Economic Development

This paper reviews the development experiences of the six GCC countries, which managed to avoid the explicit consequences of the resource curse. This seems to defy the prediction of the received literature for resource endowed societies that lack political institutions for ensuring inclusiveness and accountability in managing the resource rents. We subscribe to the argument that the unusually high rents per capita of the scale available for the GCC seems to have been associated with a developmental, if non-democratic, political equilibrium. However, the dependence of the GCC political set and consequently its development model, on the availability of exorbitantly high rents per capita, is likely to complicate the prospects for future sustainability, particularly under the new emerging ‘global oil order’, which is expected to be characterized by an eventual low oil price equilibrium.

The Sustainability of GCC Development under the New Global Oil Order

Research Fellows

Ibrahim Elbadawi

Managing Director, Economic Research Forum

The Sustainability of GCC Development under the New Global Oil Order

Senior Associates

Samir Makdisi

Professor Emeritus of Economics, American University of...