Online Training Workshop on Computable General Equilibrium Models and Policy Analysis
December 14-23, 2020
I. Introduction:
The aim of the workshop is to provide participants with the basic tools for constructing and implementing a general equilibrium model for policy analysis. This will enable them to answer relevant research questions at both the academic and policy levels.
By the end of the training participants will have acquired detailed knowledge and hands-on experience in CGE models, in particular:
- The structure of open economy general equilibrium models
- Calibrating a CGE model
- Implementing the model using the GAMS software
- Modeling trade, fiscal and environmental policies
- Formulating scenarios and running policy simulations
- Reporting and interpreting the results
The workshop emphasizes theory and applications. GAMS software is used for applying the quantitative methods and running simulations studied on empirical economic problems through computer exercises.
The workshop will be conducted mainly in English, with the possibility of using Arabic and French if needed. The workshop will be held over Zoom. The training will be conducted by Prof. Chahir Zaki.
II. Eligibility:
Applicants should be:
- Researchers from the ERF region with MAs or PhDs or in the process of completing these degrees.
- Less than 40 years of age.
- Trained in statistics, economics and mathematics and able to use statistical programs.
- Familiar with the management and analysis of macroeconomic datasets.
- Priority will be given to those who have not attended previous ERF workshops.
III. Application procedure:
Applications must include a curriculum vitae (CV) with a minimum of one reference name and a motivation letter indicating why the candidate is interested in the topic of the workshop and how it relates to his/her research.
Apply through this link: https://erf.org.eg/online-training-workshop-submission-form/
Deadline for submissions: November 22nd, 2020.
IV. Program:
- Day 1 (December 14): 16.00-19.00
16:00-16:30 Introduction and Objectives of the Workshop
16:30-17:30 Introduction to CGE models
17:30-17:45 Coffee Break
17:45-19:00 Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Refreshments
- Day 2 (December 16): 16.00-19.00
16:00-17:30 Introduction to GAMS
17:30-17:45 Coffee Break
17:45-19:00 Writing a simple closed economy CGE model
GAMS Hands-On Training and Running Simulations
- Day 3 (December 21): 16.00-19.00
16:00-17:30 Writing a simple closed economy CGE model with two sectors
GAMS Hands-On Training and Running Simulations
17:30-17:45 Coffee Break
17:45-19:00 GAMS Hands-On Training and Running Simulations
- Day 4 (December 23): 16.00-19.00
16:00-17:30 Writing an open economy CGE model with Government
GAMS Hands-On Training and Running Simulations
17:30-17:45 Coffee Break
17:45-19:00 Introduction to Dynamic Models
Readings
A- Textbooks
- Burfisher, M. (2011) “Introduction to Computable General Equilibrium Models” Cambridge University Press.
- Dixon, Peter B., and Dale Jorgenson, eds. Handbook of computable general equilibrium modeling. Newnes, 2012.
- Savard, L., Decaluwé, B. and Martens, A. (2003) La politique économique du développement et les modèles d’équilibre général calculable, Les presses de l’université de Montréal.
B- Papers
- Annabi, N., Cockburn, J., and Decaluwé, B. (2004) A Sequential Dynamic CGE Model For Poverty Analysis, May, mimeo.
- Decaluwé, B., Lemelin, A., Maisonnave, H., and Robichaud, V. (2010) “The PEP Standard Computable General Equilibrium Model: Single Country Recursive Dynamic Version PEP1-t”, Poverty and Economic Policy Research Network, mimeo, January.
- Decaluwé, B., Lemelin, A., Maisonnave, H., and Robichaud, V. (2009) The PEP Standard Computable General Equilibrium Model: Single Country Static Version PEP1-1, Poverty and Economic Policy Research Network, mimeo, October.
- Konan, D. and Maskus, K. (1996) A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Egyptian Trade Liberalization Scenarios, World Bank Working Paper No. 97-1, August.
- Konan, D. and Maskus, K. (1997) Trade Liberalization in Egypt, Review of Development Economics 1 (3), 275-293.
- Marouani, Mohamed Ali. “Ouverture commerciale et emploi: un modèle d’équilibre général avec salaires d’efficience appliqué à la Tunisie.” Revue économique (2000): 557-569.
- Marouani, M. A. (2002). Imperfections du marché du travail et modèles d’équilibre général calculables: une revue de littérature. Document de Travail DIAL DT/2002/16.
- Zaki, C. (2014) “An Empirical Assessment of the Trade Facilitation Impact: New Econometric Evidence and Global Economic Effects”, World Trade Review, volume 13, issue 01, pages 103-130.
- Zaki, C. (2013) “Trade Facilitation and Corruption: A CGE Model of Egypt”, Journal of North African Studies, vol. 18 no.1, pages 70-111.
Additional reading list will be given through the course.
- C- Training Materials on CGE, GAMS and SAM:
- Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP). Training materials in development policy modeling (MPIA). Retrieved from https://www.pep-net.org/training-material-1
- GAMS Development Corporation. GAMS Documentation. GAMS Development Corporation: Washington, D.C, Retrieved from https://www.gams.com/25.1/docs/
- McCarl, B., Meeraus, A., Eijk, P. van der, Bussieck, M., Dirkse, S., & Pete, S. McCarl GAMS User Guide. GAMS Development Corporation: Washington, D.C, Retrieved from https://www.kth.se/social/upload/53230bbcf27654558a68f3df/GAMS-McCarl-userguide%5B1%5D.pdf
- Rosenthal, R. (2007). GAMS — A User’s Guide. GAMS Development Corporation: Washington, D.C. Retrieved from http://dl.icdst.org/pdfs/files3/8400af40bb7e29457587d98847678980.pdf
- Löfgren, H. (2003a). Exercises in general equilibrium modeling using GAMS. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI): Washington, D.C. Retrieved from http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/ref/collection/p15738coll2/id/62105
- Löfgren, H. (2003b). Key to exercises in CGE modeling using GAMS. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI): Washington, D.C. Retrieved from http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/singleitem/collection/p15738coll2/id/125402/rec/2
- Breisinger, C., M. Thomas, and J. Thurlow. (2009). Social accounting matrices and multiplier analysis: An introduction with exercises. Food Security in Practice technical guide 5. International Food Policy Research Institute: Washington, D.C. Retrieved from http://www.ifpri.org/publication/social-accounting-matrices-and-multiplier-analysis