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Publications
Working Papers

Threshold Effect of Inflation on Growth: Evidence from MENA Region

Samir Ghazouani

The nature of the relationship between inflation and growth is highlighted in the present study conducted for a set of nineteen MENA countries using annual data for the period [1961-2010]. ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Rethinking Social Insurance in Egypt: An Empirical Study

Irène Selwaness

The focus of this paper is to empirically analyze the social insurance system (SIS) in Egypt. A first aspect is to estimate the determinants of the coverage among wage workers ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Macro-Financial Vulnerabilities and Economic Downturns: A Comparison Analysis Between Cost-Sensitive Learning and Markov-Switching Approaches

Meriem Djennas, and Mustapha Djennas

This paper examines the effects of macro-financial vulnerabilities on economic downturns in North Africa and GCC countries based on a Financial Stress Index (FSI). The paper identifies episodes of financial ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

A Multidimensional Analysis of Water Poverty at A Local Scale: Application of Improved Water Poverty Index for Tunisia

Hatem Jemmali and Mohamed Salah Matoussi

Combining the measure of water availability and the socioeconomic capacity to access to it gives new insights in the fields of water resources management and poverty alleviation. This approach lets ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Econometric Modeling of World Oil Supplies: Terminal Price and the Time to Depletion

Kamiar Mohaddes

This paper develops a novel approach by which to identify the price of oil at the time of depletion, the so-called "terminal price" of oil. It shows that while the ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

The Spillover Effects of the Global Financial Crisis on Economic Activity in Emerging Economies – Investigating the Egyptian Case Using the Financial Stress Index

Amira El-Shal

The global financial crisis of 2007 raised concerns about spillover effects to economic activity in emerging market economies. Economic theory suggests that there are a number of channels through which ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Reseaux Sociaux Et Insertion Sur Le Marche Du Travail En Algerie

Moundir Lassassi and Christophe Muller

In this paper, we analyze the effect of recruitment channels on the Algerian labor market, in particular through social networks. We use the Algerian national employment survey and survey data ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy

Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Maziar Raissi and Mehdi Raissi

We employ a set of sign restrictions on the impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2--2011Q2, as well as bounds on impact ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

How Different Are the Wage Curves for Formal and Informal Workers? Evidence from Turkey

Badi Baltagi, Yusuf Soner Baskaya and Timur Hulagu

This paper estimates wage curves for formal and informal workers using a rich individual level data for Turkey over the period 2005-2009. The wage curve is an empirical regularity describing ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

The Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey: Introducing the 2012 Round

Ragui Assaad and Caroline Krafft

This paper introduces the 2012 round of the Egyptian Labor Market Panel Survey (ELMPS), a nationally representative, publicly available survey. We introduce the key characteristics of the ELMPS, including the ... read more