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Publications
Working Papers

Targeting Debt in Lebanon: A Structural Macro-Econometric Model

Salim Mahmoud Araji, Vladimir Hlasny and Vito Intini

This paper lays out and estimates a structural macro-econometric model of the Lebanese economy to simulate the implications of accumulated debt changes on GDP and other economic indicators, and to ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy

Kamiar Mohaddes and Mehdi Raissi

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Information and Communication Technologies and Employment Generation in Turkish Manufacturing Industry

Yilmaz Kilicaslan and Ünal Töngür

This study aims to examine the impact of the use of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) on employment generation in the Turkish manufacturing industry. This study is said to be ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Oil, Volatility and Institutions: Cross-Country Evidence From Major Oil Producers

Amany El Anshasy, Kamiar Mohaddes and Jeffrey Nugent

This paper examines the long-run effects of oil revenue and its volatility on economic growth as well as the role of institutions in this relationship. We collect annual and monthly ... read more


Publications
Edited Volumes

Corruption and Economic Development” Selected Papers from The Economic Research Forum 18th Annual Conference

Two years into the Arab revolutions, much of ERF’s region is still in search of a new social contract and state rebuilding. The original demands of those revolutionaries remain largely ... read more


Publications
Edited Volumes

Politics and Economic Development: Selected Papers from The Economic Research Forum 17th Annual Conference

It has been a long time since one calendar year witnessed so many changes and upheavals. This year, 2011, will be remembered for a long time as the year when ... read more


Publications

Publications
Working Papers

Do Sovereign Wealth Funds Dampen the Negative Effects of Commodity Price Volatility?

Kamiar Mohaddes and Mehdi Raissi

This paper studies the impact of commodity terms of trade (CToT) volatility on economic growth (and its sources) in a sample of 69 commodity-dependent countries, and assesses the role of ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Debunking Myth: Economic Values in the Arab World Through the Prism of Opinion Polls

Ishac Diwan and Zafiris Tzannatos

Using World Value Survey opinion poll data, we empirically characterize the economic values and norms held by individuals in the Arab world, in comparison to values held in the rest ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Is Internal Migration A Way to Cope With Climate Change? Evidence From Egypt

Mohamed El Hedi Arouri, Adel Ben Youssef and Nguyen Viet Cuong

In this study, we examine the effect of extreme weather events on migration among governorates in Egypt using migration gravity models and data from the 1996 and 2006 Population and ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Do Migrants Transfer Political and Cultural Norms to Their Origin Country? Some Evidence From Some Arab Countries

Jamal Bouoiyour and Amal Miftah

This paper explores some political and social consequences of international migration experience and remittance receipt in the case of Arab countries using Arab Barometer survey dataset. The main idea is ... read more


Blog & News

ERF 24th Annual Conference

The Economic Research Forum’s (ERF) 24th Annual Conference will be held in March 2-4, 2018. The organizing committee is pleased to invite the submission of proposals per the outline given ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

On the Decomposition and Dynamics of Inequality of Opportunities: A Special Focus on Early Childhood Health and Nutrition in Tunisia

Mohamed Amara and Hatem Jemmali

It is widely recognized in the public health literature that health and nutrition during the early childhood period have important long-term and sometimes irreversible consequences on health and wellbeing later ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Cash Transfers and Labor Supply: Evidence from A Large-Scale Program in Iran

Djavad Salehi-Isfahani and Mohammad H. Mostafavi-Dehzooei

We study the impact of a nation-wide unconditional cash transfer program on labor supply in Iran. In 2011, the government started monthly deposits of cash into individual family accounts amounting ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Did the Cost of Living Rise Faster for the Rural Poor?

Shireen Al Azzawi

Inflation has been rising in Egypt over the last decade reaching double digit levels. It was more pronounced in rural Egypt and might have hurt the poor especially since rising ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Long-Range Dependence in Daily Volatility on Tunisian Stock Market

Chaker Aloui

The aim of this paper is to enfold the volatility dynamics on the Tunisian stock market via an approach founded on the detection of persistence phenomenon and long-term memory presence. ... read more