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Publications
Working Papers

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy

Kamiar Mohaddes and Mehdi Raissi

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

In Search of A New Development Model For Tunisia: Assessing the Performance of the Offshore Regime

Leila Baghdadi, Sonia Ben Kheder and Hassen Arouri

The main purpose of this paper is to examine the offshore regime in Tunisia and to assess the overall effects of this export promoting strategy for the years 2002-2014. Using ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Fiscal- Monetary Interdependence and Exchange Rate Regimes in Oil Dependent Arab Economies

Ibrahim Elbadawi, Mohamed Goaied and Moez Ben Tahar

This paper contributes to the literature on the interdependence between fiscal and monetary policies in resource-dependent economies.  In the context of this general theme we analyze the fiscal foundation of ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Oil, Volatility and Institutions: Cross-Country Evidence From Major Oil Producers

Amany El Anshasy, Kamiar Mohaddes and Jeffrey Nugent

This paper examines the long-run effects of oil revenue and its volatility on economic growth as well as the role of institutions in this relationship. We collect annual and monthly ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Muslim Youth Unemployment and Expat Jihadism- Bored to Death?

Moamen Gouda and Marcus Marktanner

While the presence of foreign fighters in military conflict has been a regular ingredient of jihad, never before in modern history have foreign fighters gathered at the scale and speed ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

The Currency-Plus-Commodity Basket: A Proposal for Exchange Rates in Oil-exporting Countries to Accommodate Trade Shocks Automatically

Jeffrey A. Frankel

The paper proposes an exchange rate regime for oil-exporting countries. The goal is to achieve the best of both flexible and fixed exchange rates.  The arrangement is designed to deliver ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers

Lutz Kilian

This paper makes four contributions.  First, it investigates the extent to which the U.S. fracking boom has caused Arab oil exports to decline since late 2008. Second, the paper quantifies ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

The Regional Impact of Trade Liberalization on Households in Egypt, 1999-2012

Jérémie Gignoux and Akiko Suwa-Eisenmann

This paper assesses the impact of trade liberalization in Egypt by comparing regions more exposed to trade opening compared to regions that were less exposed. As each region in Egypt ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Revisiting the Impact of Trade Openness on Informal and Irregular Employment in Egypt

Mélika Ben Salem and Chahir Zaki

This paper examines the impact of trade openness on job quality through the evolution of the shares of informal and irregular employment in total employment. In fact, Egypt has undertaken ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Do Sovereign Wealth Funds Dampen the Negative Effects of Commodity Price Volatility?

Kamiar Mohaddes and Mehdi Raissi

This paper studies the impact of commodity terms of trade (CToT) volatility on economic growth (and its sources) in a sample of 69 commodity-dependent countries, and assesses the role of ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

The Impact of Euro-Mediterranean Partnership on Jordan’s and Palestine’s Agricultural Sectors from A Water Perspective: The Case of Horticultural Exports to EU Markets

Amer Jabarin, Mohannad Sahawneh, Laith Assaf and Seyfeddin Muaz

This study aims at examining how the Euro-Mediterranean partnership would affect the strategies of the Government of Jordan and the Palestine National Authority towards developing their agricultural sectors. Two analytical ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Towards A Trade Policy for Palestine

Osama Dabbagh and Quhafah Mahasneh

International trade plays a pivotal role in the context of the Palestinian economy that goes beyond defining a prospective framework for export and import flows. This study in particular, sets ... read more


Publications

Publications
Working Papers

Trade and Foreign Exchange Regime in Egypt

Hanaa Kheir-El-Din and Sherine El-Shawarby

The objective of this paper is to examine the most important components of foreign trade policy in Egypt: the tariff structure, non-tariff barriers (NTBs) and the exchange rate policy. With ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

A Perspective on the Future Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate: Implications for the Peripheral Mediterranean Countries

Simon Neaime

This study examines some of the factors that may constitute the main determinants of the dollar-euro exchange rate. The implications of the introduction of the single currency in Europe on ... read more


Publications
Working Papers

Export Competitiveness: Where Does The Middle East and North Africa Region Stand?

Mona Haddad

Globalization could raise the export opportunities for the MENA region. Given its characteristics and endowments, the MENA region occupies an intermediate place in the ladder of comparative advantage and is ... read more